There is much to suggest that inflation will fall significantly next year at the latest. However, investors should not succumb to the illusion that we will quickly return to the low inflation environment of the last two decades once inflation has passed the inflation hump. In our view, in the coming years we should not only expect higher inflation on average than in the last decade, but also increased inflation volatility. Prof. Dr. Bernd Meyer, Chief Investment Strategist and Head of Multi Asset, and Ulrich Urbahn, Head of Multi Asset Strategy & Research, shed light on the reasons, draw parallels to the 1960s and 70s and derive consequences for markets and investors.

Ulrich Urbahn
Ulrich Urbahn has been working for Berenberg since October 2017 and is responsible for quantitative analyses and the devel-opment of strategic and tactical allocation ideas, and is involved in capital market communications. He is a member of the Asset Allocation Committee and portfolio manager of the Berenberg Variato. After graduating in economics and mathematics from the University of Heidelberg, he worked for more than 10 years at Commerzbank, among others, as a senior cross asset strate-gist. Mr Urbahn is a CFA charterholder and was part of the three best multi-asset research teams worldwide in the renowned Extel survey for many years.



